Surkhon Termez vs FC AGMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
12º
7º
46
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
AKT
3 - 0
TER
48%
24%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RAN
3 - 0
TER
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TER
1 - 3
SMY
45%
24%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
DMK
0 - 0
TER
34%
25%
40%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEF
3 - 0
TER
56%
24%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
OLM
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 1
OLM
16%
22%
63%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SPA
3 - 1
OLM
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NAV
3 - 1
OLM
35%
30%
35%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
OLM
6 - 0
FKO
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |