Surkhon Termez vs Navbahor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
14º
8º
26
2º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 51 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 39 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 24 |
13º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 18 |
14º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surkhon Termez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 1
TER
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AND
2 - 3
TER
51%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
QIZ
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TER
3 - 1
XOR
62%
21%
18%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
TER
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
NAV
2 - 2
BUN
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
OLM
2 - 1
NAV
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SOG
2 - 3
NAV
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
NAV
1 - 0
BUX
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
NAS
3 - 2
NAV
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |