Termalica Nieciecza vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Termalica Nieciecza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
KOL
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
DOL
2 - 1
TER
41%
29%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
TER
2 - 2
ENE
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
LKS
0 - 3
TER
20%
25%
54%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
FLO
4 - 1
TER
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
LPO
2 - 0
KOR
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
LPO
2 - 1
ZAL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ZAL
0 - 0
LPO
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
ZAL
1 - 0
LPO
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
LPO
1 - 1
CRA
71%
20%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |