Termalica Nieciecza vs Ruch Chorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
1º
1º
34
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 68 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 60 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 50 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 48 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 40 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 38 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 24 |
17º
|
36.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
83% | 12% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16.5% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Termalica Nieciecza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
POG
1 - 2
TER
21%
24%
55%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TER
3 - 0
ODR
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHR
0 - 4
TER
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TER
3 - 0
WAR
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
STA
0 - 2
TER
24%
22%
53%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
3 - 1
RCH
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RCH
1 - 1
POG
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RCH
0 - 0
ZNI
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ODR
0 - 2
RCH
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
RCH
0 - 3
REK
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |