Akhmat Grozny vs Mordovia Saransk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akhmat Grozny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ANZ
3 - 1
TER
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
TER
3 - 1
LOK
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TER
1 - 2
CSK
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PER
0 - 1
TER
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
TER
2 - 1
FCR
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 3
FCR
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 2
ZEN
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 0
MOR
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
DIN
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
VNN
0 - 2
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |