Akhmat Grozny vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akhmat Grozny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
ELI
1 - 2
TER
23%
27%
50%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
DMK
1 - 2
TER
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
TER
0 - 0
KHI
69%
21%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
TER
4 - 1
FCC
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2004 |
TER
2 - 0
SGI
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
LPO
4 - 2
PLO
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
GKS
0 - 3
LPO
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2004 |
LPO
2 - 2
WIS
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
POL
0 - 2
LPO
31%
27%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
WAR
1 - 0
LPO
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |