Akhmat Grozny vs FK Krasnodar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
9º
15º
11º
18
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 66 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akhmat Grozny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 2
TER
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
TER
2 - 0
IRT
80%
13%
6%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
TER
1 - 1
FCC
82%
13%
6%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 3
TER
70%
18%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FAK
2 - 0
TER
29%
29%
42%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FK Krasnodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ZEN
4 - 2
KRA
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KRA
3 - 2
FCR
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
KRA
2 - 0
DMK
73%
19%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
KRA
1 - 0
PKU
85%
12%
4%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
KRA
1 - 0
DIN
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |