Europa League 1/32
Global 1-3
Akhmat Grozny vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akhmat Grozny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
TER
2 - 1
NAL
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
TER
3 - 1
DIN
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
TER
1 - 0
BAL
71%
19%
9%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
SGI
1 - 3
TER
15%
24%
61%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
LPO
0 - 1
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
8 - 1
GCZ
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
STG
0 - 1
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
INT
4 - 1
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
SCH
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
YOB
1 - 1
BAS
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |