Akhmat Grozny II vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
56.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Akhmat Grozny II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
DMA
2 - 2
TER
33%
24%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
TER
0 - 0
MAS
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
TER
3 - 0
ALA
33%
27%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
AFI
3 - 7
TER
79%
15%
7%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
TER
1 - 0
FCK
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 1
AFI
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
FCK
5 - 0
CHE
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AST
1 - 0
CHE
19%
25%
56%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
BIO
0 - 1
CHE
15%
24%
61%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 2
SKA
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |