Tërbuni Pukë vs Besëlidhja Lezhë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
13º
13º
17
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tërbuni Pukë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TOM
2 - 1
TER
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TER
1 - 2
BUR
46%
27%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
KFS
2 - 0
TER
65%
22%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 0
TER
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
TER
1 - 0
DIN
27%
28%
45%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Besëlidhja Lezhë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BES
2 - 2
LUS
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BES
2 - 0
BES
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BES
1 - 0
TUR
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BES
0 - 1
KOR
29%
27%
44%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
FLA
2 - 2
BES
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |