Cup 1/16
Global 5-2
Tërbuni Pukë vs Besa Kavajë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tërbuni Pukë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BES
0 - 0
TER
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
BES
1 - 1
TER
36%
26%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TER
0 - 0
KRU
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
LAÇ
0 - 0
TER
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
TER
1 - 2
KUK
14%
24%
63%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
KAM
1 - 0
BES
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
BES
1 - 1
TER
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BES
0 - 1
BES
27%
29%
44%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MAM
0 - 0
BES
59%
22%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BES
0 - 1
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |