Tërbuni Pukë vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
13º
13º
38
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tërbuni Pukë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BES
2 - 3
TER
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 0
TER
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TER
2 - 1
TOM
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 1
TER
38%
29%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TER
1 - 1
KFS
25%
28%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
APO
3 - 0
LUS
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BES
0 - 1
APO
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
BES
2 - 1
APO
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
APO
5 - 2
TUR
66%
19%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KOR
0 - 0
APO
43%
28%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |