Cup Last 16
Global 2-4
Tërbuni Pukë vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tërbuni Pukë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TER
1 - 0
TOM
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BUR
2 - 1
TER
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TER
4 - 1
ADA
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SHK
1 - 0
TER
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TER
0 - 0
LUF
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
APO
2 - 1
ALB
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 2
APO
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
APO
2 - 1
BUT
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
TOM
1 - 1
APO
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
APO
0 - 0
BUR
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |