Teramo vs Paternò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Teramo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
GIU
1 - 0
TER
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2003 |
TER
1 - 1
SSS
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 3
TER
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
TAR
1 - 2
TER
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
TER
3 - 0
MAR
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 2
CRO
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 1
LAQ
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
FER
2 - 1
PAT
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 0
SSS
29%
28%
43%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
FER
0 - 2
PAT
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |