Liga de Expansión MX - Clausura Final
Global 3-2
Tepatitlán FC vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
ZAC
1 - 1
TEM
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
TEM
3 - 0
ZAC
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CIM
1 - 4
TEM
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
TEM
2 - 0
CIM
40%
27%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
TEM
1 - 1
DOR
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
ATL
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
MOR
26%
26%
49%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
TEM
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 3
MOR
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
CDT
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |