Tensung vs Thimphu Raven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-79%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
2º
2º
9
3º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tensung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TEN
1 - 1
NAM
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
TEN
1 - 3
TRU
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
BUT
2 - 0
TEN
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
FCT
0 - 4
TEN
58%
19%
23%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
THC
1 - 0
TEN
85%
10%
6%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Thimphu Raven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
BUT
9%
13%
78%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
TEN
1 - 1
TRA
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
UGY
12 - 0
TRA
90%
7%
3%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
GLP
2 - 1
TRA
43%
21%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 16
RTC
7%
13%
81%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | -2 |