Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-3
Tenerife vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
3.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
ALA
3 - 1
CDT
60%
25%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 2
CDT
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 0
CDT
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
CDT
3 - 1
ELD
86%
10%
5%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
CDT
1 - 1
ZAR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
JOV
1 - 1
VAL
53%
27%
20%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 2
CDT
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
ACE
1 - 2
VAL
54%
28%
18%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 1977 |
VAL
5 - 1
CAS
24%
26%
51%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
VAL
1 - 1
GAN
58%
26%
16%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |