Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-6
Tenerife vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
CDT
0 - 1
CAD
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1972 |
CCF
1 - 0
CDT
61%
24%
14%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1972 |
TER
2 - 2
CDT
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
CDT
4 - 1
RAC
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
LOG
3 - 0
CDT
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
SIE
0 - 2
CDO
28%
33%
39%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
CDO
0 - 1
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1972 |
CCF
3 - 1
CDO
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
LEM
1 - 2
CDO
26%
34%
41%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
CDO
1 - 0
CAU
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |