Tenerife vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1974 |
CDT
4 - 0
CCF
53%
22%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
CDT
1 - 0
SEV
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
LIN
0 - 1
CDT
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1974 |
CCF
3 - 0
CDT
62%
20%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
VAD
0 - 0
CDT
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1974 |
RAY
2 - 2
HER
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
CCF
3 - 1
HER
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
HER
3 - 1
BAR
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1974 |
HER
0 - 1
RAY
61%
20%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
RAY
1 - 0
HER
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |