Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-2
Tenerife vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
CDT
3 - 0
RSO
56%
24%
19%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
CDT
0 - 0
TAL
58%
23%
18%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
BUR
2 - 0
CDT
87%
10%
4%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
RUN
1 - 0
CDT
44%
29%
27%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
AND
2 - 0
CDT
41%
29%
30%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
BUR
3 - 0
PUE
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
BUR
1 - 0
BET
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
BUR
2 - 0
CDT
87%
10%
4%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
LOG
0 - 1
BUR
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
OVI
2 - 1
BUR
55%
26%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |