Tempête vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tempête
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
TEM
3 - 0
GON
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 0
TEM
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
TEM
4 - 0
TDL
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TEM
0 - 1
CAL
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VIC
3 - 1
TEM
38%
30%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
DEF
3 - 0
MIL
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 4
DEF
12%
18%
70%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
DEF
3 - 0
HOR
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 1
DEF
16%
19%
66%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
DEF
3 - 0
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |