CFU Championship Last 16
Global 3-1
Tempête vs Alpha United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tempête
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AUN
1 - 1
TEM
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
TEM
2 - 3
DON
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
DON
2 - 1
TEM
47%
28%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
TEM
3 - 1
GON
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2008 |
ASC
3 - 2
TEM
40%
29%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alpha United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AUN
1 - 1
TEM
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |