Telfs vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
5º
1º
12
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Telfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
WOR
3 - 1
TEL
15%
17%
68%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TEL
4 - 2
VOL
74%
15%
12%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
IAC
1 - 3
TEL
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
5 - 0
KEM
59%
18%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
1 - 1
KUN
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
WOR
3 - 1
TEL
15%
17%
68%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KUN
3 - 0
WOR
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 1
WOR
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
WOR
0 - 5
IAC
30%
21%
50%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KEM
1 - 1
WOR
70%
17%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |