Telfs vs Ebbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
10º
9º
34
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Telfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
KIT
2 - 1
TEL
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 4
FCV
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 4
TEL
25%
23%
53%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 4
TEL
11%
17%
73%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TEL
5 - 0
VOL
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Ebbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
EBB
2 - 1
VOL
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
IAC
3 - 1
EBB
39%
22%
40%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EBB
3 - 3
WAT
18%
21%
62%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 0
EBB
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
EBB
0 - 1
FUG
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |