Telfs vs Kematen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
5º
1º
27
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Telfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
1 - 1
KUN
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STJ
3 - 0
TEL
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
1 - 2
FUG
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
KEM
2 - 1
TEL
27%
21%
52%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TEL
2 - 1
EBB
66%
18%
15%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KEM
1 - 1
WOR
70%
17%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCV
3 - 1
KEM
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
WOR
1 - 4
KEM
32%
21%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
KEM
2 - 1
TEL
27%
21%
52%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VOL
3 - 2
KEM
49%
21%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |