Tefana vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tefana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TEF
1 - 1
AUC
17%
20%
63%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
MAG
1 - 0
TEF
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
WAI
3 - 1
TEF
80%
13%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
6 - 1
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
TEA
1 - 2
WAI
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
0 - 1
AUC
54%
23%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
3 - 1
OTA
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CAN
0 - 2
WAI
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |