Tefana vs Marist Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
21.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tefana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
TEF
2 - 0
REW
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ERA
2 - 4
TEF
41%
21%
38%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
TEF
1 - 3
DRA
63%
16%
21%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TEF
10 - 0
TAH
90%
7%
4%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
OLY
0 - 7
TEF
34%
20%
46%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marist Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
ERA
2 - 1
MAR
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 2
REW
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
REA
1 - 4
MAR
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SOL
2 - 3
MAR
61%
18%
21%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
KOL
0 - 3
MAR
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |