OFC Champions Semi-finals
Global 0-4
Tefana vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tefana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
TEF
1 - 2
83%
11%
6%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TEF
2 - 2
MAR
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +24 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
TEF
2 - 0
REW
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ERA
2 - 4
TEF
41%
21%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
TEF
1 - 3
DRA
63%
16%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AUC
1 - 2
TEA
45%
23%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
AUC
1 - 0
HAW
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +3 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AUC
11 - 0
MRE
92%
7%
2%
|
68 | 7 | 61 | -3 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 0
LAE
94%
5%
1%
|
68 | 28 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
WES
1 - 2
AUC
4%
9%
87%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | 0 |