Team Wellington vs Wellington Phoenix Reserves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TEA
4 - 1
SOU
78%
14%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TEA
3 - 1
WAI
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 1
TEA
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
WAI
2 - 3
TEA
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 1
TEA
60%
19%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
HAW
5 - 5
WEL
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 1
WAI
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
WEL
32%
24%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 3
AUC
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
WEL
0 - 3
CAN
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |