Team Wellington vs Waikato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 2
TEA
53%
22%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
TEA
1 - 3
WAI
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
HAW
3 - 0
TEA
41%
24%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TEA
0 - 1
OTA
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TEA
3 - 1
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
WAI
1 - 9
WAI
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
HAW
4 - 0
WAI
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
WAI
1 - 4
AUC
23%
24%
52%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
OTA
1 - 6
WAI
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 3
WAI
54%
22%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |