Team Wellington vs Waikato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 1
TEA
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 2
TEA
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 2
OTA
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 1
AUC
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 4
MAN
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
WAI
0 - 1
OTA
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 2
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CAN
2 - 0
WAI
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
4 - 2
HAW
39%
26%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
WAI
78%
14%
7%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |