Team Wellington vs WaiBOP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 0
TEA
55%
22%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TEA
2 - 2
CAN
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
TEA
2 - 2
AUC
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 2
TEA
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
TEA
3 - 2
WEL
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
WaiBOP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
WAI
5 - 0
WAI
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2016 |
WAI
3 - 0
SOU
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
WEL
3 - 4
WAI
46%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 2
AUC
32%
27%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 0
WAI
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |