Team Wellington vs Tefana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
TEA
3 - 4
HAW
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HAW
1 - 2
TEA
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
WAI
4 - 0
TEA
33%
23%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -3 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TEA
1 - 1
WAN
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
TEA
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Tefana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PIR
2 - 2
TEF
49%
21%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 4
TEF
24%
21%
56%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
TEF
4 - 0
RON
75%
14%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TEF
2 - 3
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
TEF
3 - 1
DRA
69%
17%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |