Team Wellington vs Tasman United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
WAI
0 - 3
TEA
28%
23%
49%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 4
TEA
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
AUC
4 - 3
TEA
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
LAU
3 - 4
TEA
5%
11%
84%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
TEA
6 - 0
LAU
93%
5%
1%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Tasman United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TAS
1 - 2
HAW
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 1
TAS
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
WAI
5 - 3
TAS
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
WEL
2 - 3
TAS
44%
25%
32%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TAS
0 - 1
AUC
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |