Team Wellington vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
2 - 0
TAS
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
WAI
0 - 3
TEA
28%
23%
49%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 4
TEA
25%
23%
52%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
AUC
4 - 3
TEA
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
LAU
3 - 4
TEA
5%
11%
84%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
HAW
0 - 1
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 0
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HAW
1 - 3
SOU
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 1
HAW
60%
21%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
4 - 0
WEL
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |