Team Wellington vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TEA
3 - 1
WAI
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 1
TEA
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
WAI
2 - 3
TEA
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 1
TEA
60%
19%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
BAF
0 - 2
TEA
12%
17%
71%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
WAI
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 0
WEL
32%
24%
45%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
HAW
3 - 0
SOU
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 2
WAI
33%
23%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
WAI
2 - 1
SOU
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |