Team Wellington vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
TEA
4 - 0
AUC
45%
25%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 2
TEA
36%
25%
40%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TEA
3 - 2
WAI
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
HAW
2 - 2
TEA
36%
24%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TEA
2 - 1
WEL
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SOU
3 - 4
WEL
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
WAI
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 1
SOU
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +3 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 3
AUC
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
5 - 3
WAN
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |