Team Wellington vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
TEA
1 - 4
AUC
38%
25%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TEA
4 - 2
HAW
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
OTA
0 - 2
TEA
22%
22%
57%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TEA
2 - 3
AUC
37%
26%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
HAW
3 - 2
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 3
WAI
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MAN
3 - 2
SOU
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SOU
0 - 2
CAN
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
WAI
0 - 2
SOU
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |