Team Wellington vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AUC
5 - 1
TEA
66%
19%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TEA
0 - 2
AUC
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TEA
2 - 2
MAN
70%
18%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TEA
1 - 3
HAW
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
AUC
2 - 0
TEA
61%
20%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
OTA
1 - 2
WAI
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAN
3 - 1
OTA
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OTA
4 - 3
MAN
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
OTA
0 - 3
AUC
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
OTA
0 - 0
HAW
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |