Team Wellington vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
HAW
2 - 3
TEA
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
OTA
0 - 3
TEA
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
TEA
3 - 1
WAI
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
TEA
2 - 4
CAN
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
TEA
0 - 0
AUC
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
OTA
2 - 1
CAN
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 2
OTA
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
OTA
0 - 3
TEA
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
AUC
0 - 0
OTA
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
HAW
3 - 2
OTA
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |