Team Wellington vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 1
AUC
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 4
MAN
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
WAI
5 - 0
TEA
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 1
WAI
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TEA
4 - 1
WAI
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 1
OTA
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
OTA
0 - 0
AUC
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 0
OTA
63%
21%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
2 - 3
WAI
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
2 - 4
TEA
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |