Team Wellington vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 2
TEA
28%
25%
48%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
TEA
2 - 1
AUC
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
HAW
1 - 2
TEA
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 0
TEA
46%
23%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
TEA
2 - 4
WAI
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
3 - 1
OTA
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
OTA
2 - 3
MAN
22%
24%
55%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
OTA
2 - 1
CAN
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AUC
2 - 0
OTA
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
OTA
2 - 2
WAI
13%
23%
65%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |