Team Wellington vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TEA
1 - 2
WAI
33%
25%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
TEA
40%
25%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TEA
3 - 0
WAI
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AUC
4 - 2
TEA
69%
18%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TEA
2 - 2
OTA
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 3
WAI
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
AUC
5 - 0
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 3
OTA
61%
20%
18%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HAW
2 - 2
MAN
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 4
CAN
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |