Team Wellington vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TEA
1 - 1
OTA
80%
14%
7%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 2
TEA
28%
25%
48%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
TEA
2 - 1
AUC
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
4 - 0
CAN
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
3 - 0
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
MAN
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
HAW
72%
17%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
OTA
2 - 3
MAN
22%
24%
55%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |