Team Wellington vs Magenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.5%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.7%
5-0
9.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11.7%
4-0
14.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
16%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.2%
1.2%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
TEA
7 - 1
SOA
96%
3%
1%
|
69 | 16 | 53 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
TEA
3%
8%
89%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
TEA
4 - 1
WAI
70%
17%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 3
TEA
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 0
TEA
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAG
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAG
2 - 0
SOA
79%
12%
8%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
MAG
4 - 1
BAC
57%
19%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MAG
2 - 1
BEL
58%
19%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
AMD
4 - 1
MAG
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |