OFC Champions Final
Global 10-3
Team Wellington vs Lautoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.2%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
9.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11.5%
4-0
13.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
15.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
5.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.4%
1.3%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 2
TEA
50%
22%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TEA
0 - 0
AUC
54%
21%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TEA
11 - 0
LAE
85%
10%
5%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 0
TEA
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TEA
1 - 0
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lautoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
LAU
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LAU
1 - 1
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
DRA
1 - 2
LAU
56%
21%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -16 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 0
LAU
91%
7%
2%
|
32 | 69 | 37 | +17 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
VEN
1 - 2
LAU
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |