Team Wellington vs Henderson Eels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
HAW
2 - 4
TEA
10%
18%
71%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TEA
1 - 2
AUC
46%
24%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
ERA
0 - 3
TEA
3%
6%
92%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
KIW
0 - 13
TEA
2%
4%
94%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
TEA
2 - 0
BAF
87%
9%
4%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Henderson Eels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
HEE
7 - 0
FCM
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
LAU
5 - 6
HEE
50%
21%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CEN
3 - 2
HEE
46%
21%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
KOS
1 - 5
HEE
42%
23%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 6
HEE
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |