Team Wellington vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
WEL
0 - 1
TEA
19%
21%
61%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 1
TEA
17%
21%
62%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TEA
4 - 1
EAS
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +3 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 2
TEA
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TEA
3 - 1
TAS
84%
11%
5%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
HAW
0 - 3
HAW
68%
17%
14%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
WAI
5 - 2
HAW
58%
20%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
EAS
4 - 2
HAW
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
HAW
3 - 4
SOU
56%
21%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
HAW
2 - 1
CAN
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |