Team Wellington vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
WEL
1 - 3
TEA
30%
24%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TEA
1 - 3
AUC
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
TEA
3 - 3
CAN
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TAS
1 - 2
TEA
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TEA
4 - 1
SOU
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
HAW
6 - 3
EAS
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
WAI
1 - 0
HAW
39%
24%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
HAW
6 - 4
HAW
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 3
HAW
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 0
WEL
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |