Team Wellington vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
WEL
3 - 4
TEA
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TEA
1 - 2
WAI
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
WAN
1 - 4
TEA
18%
22%
59%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TEA
2 - 0
SOU
76%
16%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
TEA
4 - 0
AUC
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HAW
0 - 3
AUC
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 1
HAW
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
WAI
2 - 4
HAW
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
HAW
3 - 1
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
HAW
2 - 5
WEL
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |